Four Wide Releases come out this weekend, but the only one that matters here is Ballerina (picked by 25 players). Over half the pool is hoping for some John Wick magic, but if the current projection of $30M holds true it’ll be a quick death for our heroine. Some good walk up numbers, however, and it’ll have a shot at claiming the weekend’s top honors.
A couple other movies of interest getting strong reviews are Wes Anderson’s The Phoenician Scheme (Michael Cera seems like a perfect fit for a WA film), and the serial-killer-loves-sharks Dangerous Animals.
And how about a 0% score for The Ritual?? Waiting to see which critic will be the first to say it’s a “good” film.
Box Office Theory forecast for this weekend:
| # | 3-Day Wknd (M) | % Change | Total (M) | Theater Count | |
| 1 | Lilo & Stitch (2025) | 38.0 | -38% | 343.9 | 4,185 |
| 2 | Ballerina | 30.5 | – | 30.5 | 3,409 |
| 3 | Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning | 15.4 | -43% | 150.5 | 3,496 |
| 4 | Karate Kid: Legends | 10.0 | -51% | 36.8 | 3,859 |
| 5 | Final Destination: Bloodlines | 6.5 | -40% | 123.7 | 2,868 |
| 6 | The Phoenician Scheme | 5.7 | +920% | 6.5 | 1,678 |
| 7 | Bring Her Back | 3.3 | -53% | 13.3 | 2,425 |
| 8 | |||||
| 9 | Thunderbolts* | 3.1 | -35% | 187.1 | 1,955 |
| 10 | Friendship | 2.0 | -22% | 15.9 | 1,072 |
Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:
| All Critics | Top Critics | Verified Audience | |
| Ballerina | 75% | 61% | 93% |
| The Phoenician Scheme | 79% | 77% | 71% |
| Dangerous Animals | 83% | 79% | 75% |
| The Ritual | 7% | 6% | 62% |
CinemaScore ratings:
| Score | |
| Ballerina | A- |
| The Phoenician Scheme | B- |
| Dangerous Animals | B |
| The Ritual | n/a |
TBD ratings updates will be posted as they are published.