There’s only room for one new Wide release this extended holiday weekend, and if you’re gonna go solo you go BIG with Jurassic World Rebirth. Opening on Wednesday, Rebirth (unanimously selected) is tracking to earn $50M+ before a $77M weekend. That’ll work for a movie that isn’t exactly wowing either the Critics (RT 54%) or Audience (RT 75%).
Box Office Theory’s forecast for the weekend:
| 3-Day Wknd (M) | % Change | Total (M) | Theater Count | ||
| 1 | Jurassic World Rebirth | 77.6 | – | 128.7 | 4,063 |
| 2 | F1: The Movie | 24.0 | -58% | 103.2 | 3,661 |
| 3 | How To Train Your Dragon (2025) | 12.4 | -37% | 224.1 | 3,714 |
| 4 | Elio | 6.6 | -37% | 54.5 | 3,750 |
| 5 | 28 Years Later | 5.1 | -48% | 60.0 | 3,168 |
| 6 | Lilo & Stitch (2025) | 5.0 | -27% | 408.8 | 2,900 |
| 7 | M3GAN 2.0 | 3.8 | -63% | 17.5 | 3,133 |
| 8 | Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning | 3.0 | -28% | 191.3 | 1,653 |
| 9 | Materialists | 1.6 | -46% | 33.4 | 1,931 |
| 10 | Ballerina | 1.1 | -50% | 57.6 | 975 |
Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:
| All Critics | Top Critics | Verified Audience | |
| Jurassic World Rebirth | 54% | 52% | 75% |
CinemaScore ratings:
| Score | |
| Jurassic World Rebirth | TBD |
TBD ratings updates will be posted as they are published.