Last weekend it was records and milestones galore. This weekend its… a bomb? Just one year after the hit introduction of Superman (including a cameo appearance of our heroine), James Gunn returns with Supergirl in her very own film. But what once looked promising with an opening tracking in the $47-65M range is now reduced to just $34-43M. The studio’s own tracking is $47-50M, so hopefully they are right and everyone else is wrong. We don’t even have Thursday preview numbers yet, which is not a good sign at all.
Box Office Theory forecast for this weekend:
| # | 3-Day Wknd (M) | % Change | Total (M) | Theater Count | |
| 1 | Toy Story 5 | 73.5 | -54% | 302.1 | 4,425 |
| 2 | Supergirl | 38.5 | NEW | 38.5 | 3,602 |
| 3 | Obsession | 10.8 | -19% | 236.0 | 2,965 |
| 4 | Jackass: Best and Last | 9.9 | NEW | 9.9 | 2,855 |
| 5 | Disclosure Day | 8.7 | -51% | 94.7 | 3,357 |
Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:
| All Critics | Top Critics | Verified Audience | |
| Supergirl | 59% | 60% | 77% |
| Jackass: Best and Last | 85% | 81% | TBD |
| Lucky Strike | 58% | TBD | TBD |
CinemaScore ratings:
| Score | |
| Supergirl | TBD |
| Jackass: Best and Last | TBD |
| Lucky Strike | TBD |
TBD ratings updates will be posted as they are published.