After 3 straight weekends of underachievers we finally get the summer’s 2nd biggest opening in The Odyssey ($123M). 1 of only 3 ‘major’ movies to hit the quinella of RT Critics (95%), RT Top Critics (97%), RT Verified Audience (97%) and CinemaScore (A), Odyssey reached numerous box office milestones:

  • 3rd biggest opening of 2026 (Toy Story 5 $159M and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie $131M)
  • Biggest live-action opening of 2026
  • Biggest R-rated opening of 2026
  • 3rd biggest opening for Christopher Nolan (The Dark Knight Rises $160M and The Dark Knight $158M)
  • Biggest opening for Matt Damon (The Bourne Ultimatum $69M)

With Spider-Man: Brand New Day opening on 7/31 studios have steered completely clear of this upcoming weekend, giving Odyssey room to run in what should be a better-than-expected hold.

Scoreboard Leaders

From the latest shuffle we now have 15 players atop the Scoreboard list at 8 correct picks, with just 9 Deviation Points separating 1st and 13th Places. This week it’s Mark M’s turn at #1, while John W has been hanging around the Top-3 for weeks. There’s at least one more major update coming soon, so don’t get too comfy.

RankName# Top 10 PicksDeviation Score
1Mark McMahon862
2John West863
3Curt Perone864

Top 10 IN

  • #7 The Odyssey ($123.5M)
  • #10 Moana ($81.0M)

Top 10 OUT

  • Mortal Kombat II ($79.8M)
  • Supergirl ($69.9M)

Holdover News

  • #1 Toy Story 5 ($13.7M) had a fantastic 5th weekend with another excellent hold (-27.6%). At $429.8M it climbed 20 spots to #35 on the All Time domestic box office list. Next on the list at #34 is 2019’s Toy Story 4 ($434.0M). We are looking at a new franchise record.
  • #2 Obsession ($2.3M) does it again in its 10th weekend with another sub-50% hold (-37.8%). Its $258.3M total is now at #158 All Time. Next on the list at #157 is 2013’s The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug (also at $258.3M).
  • After 12 weekends, #3 The Devil Wears Prada 2 ($36K) played in as many theaters as it just lost (40 total). At $220.4M it’s likely to see an upcoming weekend placement drop.
  • #4 Backrooms ($714K) finally slipped below $1M (-53%) and below 1,000 theaters in its 8th weekend. While a spot drop is expected soon, at $195.9M the more interesting story is if it can reach $200M. It’s sooooo close.
  • After 9 weekends, #5 Mandalorian and Grogu ($115K) has couple more before it gets overtaken by…
  • #6 Minions & Monsters ($13.6M) jumps a spot after a nice hold in its 3rd weekend (-35.7%). $150M is a certainty, but $200M may no longer be realistic.
  • #8 Disclosure Day ($1.3M) slips 2 spots in its 6th weekend after taking a hit from losing over 900 theaters (-59.8%). $114.6M is enough to stay ahead of the next movie on the list, and perhaps also the under-performing Moana?
  • #9 Scary Movie ($240K) dropped 1 spot, and at $107.5M is also hoping to luck into staying permanently ahead of Moana.

Next Weekend: The weekend brings us 3 new Wide Releases, but none are expected to dent the SMP in what should be a clear path for more Odyssey destruction.

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