THIS is the weekend that will decide the SMP. 26 players selected Barbie (average placement 7.7 with a #1). 22 players selected Oppenheimer (average placement 9.2 with a high of #8). 14 selected both while 4 selected neither. Based on the weekend’s projections and excellent RT scores it’s looking like those who picked both will be the envy of the pool. $158M for Barbie?!?!?!?

Get ready, as the competition is about to ramp up quickly. After this weekend we should be looking at 11 movies with $100M+, and if projections hold we should also see Oppenheimer join in quickly. Sound of Freedom just this week crossed $100M and is now pulling the same daily earnings as M:I7. We may even see The Flash drop out of the Top 10 as soon as Monday. And keep an eye on Fast X, as its disappointing final total of $145M might just be the next to fall.

Boxoffice Pro forecast for this weekend:

#Wknd (M)3-Day Total (M)
1Barbie158.5158.5
2Oppenheimer64.764.7
3Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One25.8125.9
4Sound of Freedom21.1126.0
5Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny7.4159.8
6Elemental6.8138.1
7Insidious: The Red Door6.571.6
8Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse3.7376.0
9Transformers: Rise of the Beasts1.5156.1
10No Hard Feelings1.449.6

Rotten Tomatoes freshness ratings:

Critics ScoreAudience Score
Barbie89%91%
Oppenheimer 93%94%

Theater counts:

Screens
Barbie4,243
Oppenheimer 3,610

CinemaScore ratings:

Score
BarbieA
Oppenheimer A

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